The inflation is up at it peak which nearly 3.3% so will Najib do something to curb this phenomena? Let us wait for his budjet on 7 Oktober 2011 so will Najib budjet will give a look in inflation or indirectly the stock market.
.......................
Latest figures in line with views that inflation had peaked in June
 PETALING
 JAYA: The consumer price index (CPI) accelerated by 3.3% year-on-year 
in August, on higher prices for miscellaneous goods and services, 
recreation services and culture as well as housing, water, electricity, 
gas and other fuels.
 According to the Statistics Department, the 
CPI for the first eight months of this year increased by 3.1% to 102.8 
(compared with 99.7 in the same period last year).
 When compared with July, the CPI in August increased by 0.2%.
 Economists
 noted that this was in line with their view that inflation peaked at 
3.5% year-on-year in June, before moderating slightly to 3.4% in July.
 A Credit Suisse report estimated that inflation was flat in August on a seasonally adjusted basis.
 “We
 expect year-on-year inflation to hover around 3.3% to 3.4% in the next 
few months before slowing to 3.2% by end-2011,” said Credit Suisse.
 The
 report said inflation was likely to fall below 3% in the first half of 
next year, and could fall more rapidly than expected if the global 
growth outlook worsened.
 Credit Suisse also noted that there 
could be a risk of a higher inflation rate due to the ringgit which has 
depreciated by over 5% against the US dollar since early September.
 “It
 is too early to adjust our inflation forecasts at this stage. History 
suggests that it takes much bigger foreign exchange moves than we have 
seen so far to have a meaningful impact on Malaysian inflation,” said 
Credit Suisse.
 However, Barclays Capital maintained its view that
 the ringgit would appreciate to RM2.90 in six months and RM2.84 in 12 
months against the US dollar.
 “We see several signs that 
elections may be brought forward and could be held well before the end 
of the year. We believe this would be a catalyst for the ringgit's 
strength,” Barclays Capital said in a note.
 Barclays Capital also pointed out that risks to food prices were biased on the upside in the near term.
 “Recent
 flooding in northern Malaysia, particularly in Perlis, is likely to 
weigh on rice and other food production, which could keep pressure on 
food prices in the near term,” it said.
 Barclays Capital also pointed out that the contribution of non-food inflation remained sticky.
 “The
 stickiness in non-food prices is largely due to persistent increases in
 recreation, health and miscellaneous services,” it said.
 Bank Islam Malaysia Bhd
 chief economist Azrul Azwar said the CPI should continue to ease 
further until next year due to reduced pressure from food and fuel 
inflation.
 “The balance of risks has tilted towards concerns about slower economic growth rather than uncontrolled inflation,” Azrul said.
 He
 pointed out that there should be no movement in the overnight policy 
rate, which was presently at 3%, until the first half of next year.
Source: The Star 
Technical News, Fundamental News and World Updates In Brief
Thursday, 22 September 2011
Inflation rise up to 3.3%: So what will Dato Seri Najib action?
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