The inflation is up at it peak which nearly 3.3% so will Najib do something to curb this phenomena? Let us wait for his budjet on 7 Oktober 2011 so will Najib budjet will give a look in inflation or indirectly the stock market.
.......................
Latest figures in line with views that inflation had peaked in June
PETALING
JAYA: The consumer price index (CPI) accelerated by 3.3% year-on-year
in August, on higher prices for miscellaneous goods and services,
recreation services and culture as well as housing, water, electricity,
gas and other fuels.
According to the Statistics Department, the
CPI for the first eight months of this year increased by 3.1% to 102.8
(compared with 99.7 in the same period last year).
When compared with July, the CPI in August increased by 0.2%.
Economists
noted that this was in line with their view that inflation peaked at
3.5% year-on-year in June, before moderating slightly to 3.4% in July.
A Credit Suisse report estimated that inflation was flat in August on a seasonally adjusted basis.
“We
expect year-on-year inflation to hover around 3.3% to 3.4% in the next
few months before slowing to 3.2% by end-2011,” said Credit Suisse.
The
report said inflation was likely to fall below 3% in the first half of
next year, and could fall more rapidly than expected if the global
growth outlook worsened.
Credit Suisse also noted that there
could be a risk of a higher inflation rate due to the ringgit which has
depreciated by over 5% against the US dollar since early September.
“It
is too early to adjust our inflation forecasts at this stage. History
suggests that it takes much bigger foreign exchange moves than we have
seen so far to have a meaningful impact on Malaysian inflation,” said
Credit Suisse.
However, Barclays Capital maintained its view that
the ringgit would appreciate to RM2.90 in six months and RM2.84 in 12
months against the US dollar.
“We see several signs that
elections may be brought forward and could be held well before the end
of the year. We believe this would be a catalyst for the ringgit's
strength,” Barclays Capital said in a note.
Barclays Capital also pointed out that risks to food prices were biased on the upside in the near term.
“Recent
flooding in northern Malaysia, particularly in Perlis, is likely to
weigh on rice and other food production, which could keep pressure on
food prices in the near term,” it said.
Barclays Capital also pointed out that the contribution of non-food inflation remained sticky.
“The
stickiness in non-food prices is largely due to persistent increases in
recreation, health and miscellaneous services,” it said.
Bank Islam Malaysia Bhd
chief economist Azrul Azwar said the CPI should continue to ease
further until next year due to reduced pressure from food and fuel
inflation.
“The balance of risks has tilted towards concerns about slower economic growth rather than uncontrolled inflation,” Azrul said.
He
pointed out that there should be no movement in the overnight policy
rate, which was presently at 3%, until the first half of next year.
Source: The Star
Technical News, Fundamental News and World Updates In Brief
Thursday, 22 September 2011
Inflation rise up to 3.3%: So what will Dato Seri Najib action?
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